General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Flavio Bolsonaro

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Renan Santos

Tarcisio de Frietas

Fernando Haddad

Ronaldo Caiado

Jair Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

Romeu Zema

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Flavio Bolsonaro152,7 mil US$vol.99%Yes99.4No0.6

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva592 mil US$vol.98%Yes98.4No1.7

Renan Santos47,5 mil US$vol.<1%Yes0.15No99.9

Tarcisio de Frietas91,6 mil US$vol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Fernando Haddad68,8 mil US$vol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Ronaldo Caiado3,3 mil US$vol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Jair Bolsonaro20,6 mil US$vol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Michelle Bolsonaro43,7 mil US$vol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Romeu Zema3,3 mil US$vol.<1%Yes0.05No100

Detalles del mercado

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